Michelle Wie WHIFFED tough question on Mark Rolfing's Golf Hawaii
In a recent blog, our Jennifer Mario writes about how 16-year-old Michelle Wie appeared on Mark Rolfing’s Golf Hawaii on the Golf Channel, where he asked her: “Which would give you more satisfaction, making the cut in a PGA tournament, or winning on the LGPA?” Mario made a valid point in commending Rolfing for the direct question: “Way to put her on the spot, Mark!”
Then it all went to seed for Jennifer. She went on to get, well, just goofy:
“With her usual finesse, she replied, ‘I would choose both. Winning an LPGA tournament would be awesome because it’s something I’ve always wanted to do. And making the cut on the PGA would be a whole different feeling …’”
How does one good writer in such a short space 1) commend a TV personality for asking a decent question and then 2) commend Wie’s “usual finesse” in responding with such an insipid answer!?
“I would choose both. Winning an LPGA tournament would be awesome … making the cut on the PGA would be a whole different feeling.”
God, I can just hear the tee-hee giggle now. Give me a break! If this in a clue to Wie’s mental focus and clarity of thought, Chris Baldwin may just be right. Perhaps Nike did pour $10 million down the drain on a pretty face with a great golf swing but no ability to focus on WINNING.
I’m not attacking Wie just for the sake of attacking her (that would be a cheap trick to drive the search engines batty for a couple of days). No, I’m on record as a Wie fan. But when you get 10 million bucks in your pocket and the weight of the world on your shoulders, you can be called out when you offer goofy non-answers like “I would choose both.”
I’m thinking that, at the same tender age, a young Tiger Woods was answering any and all questions about his goals with a steely glare and a Terminator-esque: “I intend to win more majors than Jack Nicklaus.”
Tiger’s going to accomplish his goal. Michelle can’t even decide what her goal is.
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285 comments
Slow news day, huh?
An article about an article about how a 16-year old girl answered a question.
Wow.
I suppose there must be a mandate from your management. Talk about Michelle Wie because no one will bother reading the drivel here otherwise.
Jennifer Mario pointed out that if Michelle chose either option, it would be considered the wrong answer by a large number of people.
Michelle took the political answer and that was the correct one.
You think she can't decide which she wants! Inside, she knows exactly which she would prefer, but she is too smart to give her critics quotes to attack her on.
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So?
"No matter what she said, there would be a crowd like you criticizing her move one way or other."
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Again, so what? Public figures get criticized; big deal. What I think or write or say shouldn't matter to Michelle Wie. What matters is what she believes and what she decides to focus on. Hey, if my daughter wants a pair of Nike Michelle Wie golf shoes when she's older, you KNOW I'm going to buy them for her - I LIKE Michelle. But my daughter's just 2 now and if there's to be any Nike/Wie shoe on the market when my daughter's old enough to care, Michelle is going to have to decide on what she wants the start focusing. Otherwise, she'll just be the female Ty Tryon. God, 40+ weeks of competition on the LPGA Tour is going to shred this poor girl her first year out. She'll have to be tough to weather that and learn to win.
She is not out there to make you happy or make you agree with her and I for one don't care what you think of her. I just pointed out your opinion is exactly what she expected one way or the other.
SO WHAT?
You must walk about half asleep.
Wie is making her fans very happy and she has plenty of them.
Fortunately you can't answer for her, and I don't think your version would match Michelles.
Mark, she will only play 8 LPGA events this year. I'm sure it won't shred her too much.
Alan M
Michelle is going to have to decide on what she wants the start focusing. Otherwise, she'll just be the female Ty Tryon.
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Why does she have to decide either the pga or lpga?
She can do both, for at least the next couple of years without even considering focusing on one.
In my opinion, she WANTS to be a pga tour player. She wants to be able to get her card and play on the pga full time. However she also knows that if she doesn't succeed that she can play full time on the lpga tour anyway.
If she succeeds on the pga tour in getting her tour card, I would predict that she would give it a real go, and come back to the lpga for majors and maybe a couple more.
By taking such a non-commital stance she has satisfied nobody. It couldn't have been that hard for her to say "I'd really like to win a tournament on the LPGA this year so all my supporters will know I'm the real deal." Who could have possibly objected to that response?
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If she said "so my supporters will know that I am the real deal", that would be suggesting that she isn't the real deal until she wins.
That statement would put massive pressure on her to win on the lpga next year. Why would someone put extra pressure on themselves?
Alex you suggested that Michelle was not very intelligent. Had she made your suggested statement, that would have been unintelligent.
I don't like saying this, but her statement showed that she has more maturity than you in this instance.
Perhaps you just didn't think it through. It is so easy to make these mistakes, and that just shows even more just how clever she is, not to have been caught out more.
There were 6 players on the LPGA Tour who took home more than a million dollars last year.
I predict Michelle will work at securing a PGA card in the future and only play the "Majors" on the LPGA Tour on exemption from previous wins.
The appearance fees are higher on the PGA Tour and each time she steps onto the 1st tee she would be adding to a legacy and BTW filling the gallery.
Now if that were your Goal, how would you answer the loaded question?
Firstly it has to be stated that it is extremely difficult for anybody to gain a tour card onto the pga. I think we can agree on that.
At Michelle's current golfing ability, I do not believe it would be possible for her to gain a card by any means. However I don't think she is as far off as you might.
Options to Get a PGA Tour Card:
- take sponsors exemptions, and make enough money to get your card that way. Ryan Moore qualified this year, using this method, as did Tiger Woods. I believe Michelle will attempt this method in a few years, but only if her game improves to the extent that she feels she has some chance. She would have to be making consistant cuts, before trying this way I think.
- Play the Nationwide Tour, and finish top 20 on the money list. I don't believe she would try this.
- Play q-school and finish in the top 32 to get a tour card. This appears the most likely way for Michelle to get her tour card.
In summary, I think she will try to win enough money, with 7 sponsors exemptions, but probably fail. That's at least 4 years away though, I think. She will also try q-school, and like many others probably won't succeed first time.
Whatever the method, she needs to keep working on her game if she is to get to the required standard.
If she did this, and played well she could work up her ranking a bit, and try to get in this way.
In my opinion, she would only use the European Tour to gain extra experience. Perhaps play lpga 8 exemptions, play pga 7 exemptions, and play a few in Asia and Europe to fill out her season, and build some sort of a ranking.
The top 100 qualify for the USPGA, that could be some sort of a motivating factor for her to build up her ranking, whether it would be in the pga or on another tour.
Michelle Wie won't earn a PGA card as girl--but she might very well do it as a woman. Method? How about Q-School?
A lot of people talk as if making the top 30 in Q-School were as hard as winning the Masters. Nearly all the top players are on the PGA already or on some other tour. If it were 2 rounds, it would certainly be easier than making the cut even in a weak PGA tournament. With 6 rounds more consistency is required, and there is more pressure. Let Wie make a few PGA cuts and win a few LPGA tournaments and she should be a good bet to make it through Q-School if she decides to go that route.
The fairly obvious conclusion is that she'd rather make a PGA cut, leaving her with two choices: lie or give that lame, Clintonesque answer.
Also, what I'm saying should not be revelatory if you understand the psychology of such a person. Wie is a modern girl who has been inculcated with the idea that fulfillment can only come through entering traditionally male domains and doing what men do. In this way of thinking, men have reserved all the best things for themselves and female arenas are worthless. Thus, on a visceral level, she doesn't FEEL that success on the LPGA Tour would be satisfying or fulfilling.
She would find making a PGA cut much more fulfilling. Everything she has said and done makes that conclusion inescapable.
in 2005, 11 of the 32, 2004 q-school graduates kept their cards.
I'm guessing it probably won't be much different this year.
These guys can do well at q-school but that doesn't mean that they will succeed on the pga.
If Wie shows she can make some cuts on the pga, I think making the top 32 at q-school, shouldn't be beyond her talent, even if it takes more than one attempt.
Wie is a modern girl who has been inculcated with the idea that fulfillment can only come through entering traditionally male domains and doing what men do. In this way of thinking, men have reserved all the best things for themselves and female arenas are worthless.
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Wie simply wants to be the best she can be and beat the best players in the world, be they men or women.
Since when has she thought the women's tournaments are worthless. She admires Annika and wants to win lpga tournaments, but she isn't held there in her ambition. She wants to be the best she can be, and that means taking it to the highest level.
Paula has more chance of getting her pga tour card than Wie has.
Paula is simply taking a different route. Paula will overtake Annika next season as the number 1 woman, and then she will go after the men.
Paula won't be satisfied with trying to get a tour card either, she will win multiple majors on the mens tour in a few years.
I agree, the Nationwide option of winning 3 times is about the hardest way to qualify.
By the way, if Wie wins the Sony Open, how long of a tour exemption does she get? She is 500-1 and it has received some bets.
Might as well be 5000-1 IMO.
At the Sony this year, Michelle Wie will outperform 4 out of 5 Q-School graduates. I know it is just about Wie's home course, but if these guys are so much better than Michelle they should be able to do better than that. Anyone willing to predict the Q-School grads will do better than I have said?
You forgot, play the Nationwide Tour, and win 3 in a row. The "battlefield promotion". Jason Gore did this.
If Wie ever wins three in a row on the Nationwide Tour, I'll kiss Norman's chair-shaped butt in front of Harrods window.
Paula Creamer is the one who is been forgotten about here. She is a true champion with 4 wins to 0 for Wie.
Paula has more chance of getting her pga tour card than Wie has.
Paula is simply taking a different route. Paula will overtake Annika next season as the number 1 woman, and then she will go after the men.
Paula won't be satisfied with trying to get a tour card either, she will win multiple majors on the mens tour in a few years.
Ronnie, I really am not sure if you're joking. Anyway, don't bet the house on any of your predictions. Creamer won't overtake Sorenstam next season (I assume you mean the upcoming one), and her chances of getting a PGA Tour card are between slim and none . . . and slim just left town.
I just saw Ronnie's musings. I think he needs to have his medication adjusted.
I'm guessing you are probably just Wie-addicts and think nobody can challenge your girl.
Well you are wrong, Paula won 4 times last season and she had lots of great finishes. She practically won the Solheim Cup on her own.
Annika might be number 1 now, but she is 35 and Paula is only 19. If Paula doesn't overtake Annika next year, she definetely will the following year.
Paula isn't silly like Wie trying to play the men when she can't even beat the women. Paula will first become the dominant number 1 on the lpga, then she will join the pga, and work her way up through that tour as well. If you had the opportunity to watch Paula hit the golf ball, you would know just how good she is.
Donald drives the ball 284 yards.
DiMarco 281 yards.
Furyk 280 yards.
So you think she will be driving it over 290 yards. I think that is asking alot.
She is currently around 270 yards.
In a way you just inadvertantly buttressed our point about the hype. As you said, Wie drives it about 270, yet, I can't tell you how many times I've heard gushing journalists say she hits it 300. Of course, it makes for titillating prose; I mean, you've got the 3 followed by the two zeros -- "270" just doesn't have the same ring, know what I mean? I also heard Wie-wie say on a late night talk show that she hits it 300 yards; that's the marketing I was telling you about.
Ronnie, I dislike Wie, actually. However, I "insult" your opinions, as you put it, because they're utterly ridiculous.
I know what kind of fellow you are, though. You were never much of an athlete, so you lack the ability to assess these things properly, which can cause you to view someone like Creamer and think she is somehow unique in her shotmaking ability.
By the way, not all opinions are deserving of respect. Some are right, some are wrong, some are stupid. If you don't understand the profound difference between male and female athletes, I'll leave the category in which yours belong to the imagination.
Driving distance is like the speed of a tennis player's serve. They often talk about the speed of a tnnis player's fastest serve, why can't we talk about a golfer's longest drive. And just like tennis, a golfer may often take a little off in order to get greater accuracy. Just be careful to compare best with bestm average with average or whatever.
I understand what you're saying, but as a tennis pro I can tell you that a fastest serve and a longest drive are not analogous in the way some may assume.
A fastest serve is always indicative of a player's capacity whereas a longest drive is never. This is because conditions on a tennis court are relatively uniform and thus have a negligible bearing on the speed of the ball.
Golf is a different matter altogether (even if you only count the drives on the measuring holes) because conditions can vary so greatly.
BTW, Ronnie. I saw creamer hit the ball and that's why I was never impressed with her game. Even 5 foot 1 inch Ai Miyazato was outdriving creamer and Ai finished dead last at japanese men's tour.
Assume Michelle does Q-School when she is 18 in 2007. I would guess that she would be seeded into the final. Assume the same courses and the same weather. -11 made it in 2007. Top 30 and ties made 32. In 2 years -12 is a good bet to make the top 30 and ties. That is 2 under per round. In two years there is hardly likely to be a significant change in the level of play at Q-School. If Wie improves, she will face guys at most a bit tougher than those in 2005. As far as top 80 goes, she around that level on the PGA now--and those guys are a lot better than your Q-schoolers.
You forgot to mention that Paula Creamer will also sweep the gand slams of tennis
both male and female. That will really annoy under par.
You know, I've seen the light! You're right, once Creamer unleashes the tigress within she'll really be a "creamer." But I believe even you underestimate her immense capacity.
I expect that by the time she brings all the men on the PGA Tour to tears she'll be driving the ball 385 yards with a 43 inch, steel-shafted driver. I estimate that she will lead the tour in accuracy with 98.2% of fairways hit and that her GIR stat will be 99.3%. I won't mention scrambling because she won't have to scramble, but her putting average will be 1.32.
Moreover, I believe that upon conquering the PGA, she will find winning every start boring and will seek a new challenge. Thus, I predict that she will join the NBA, performing feats and setting records that'll make Michael Jordan look like a grammar school pick-up game scrub.
I also expect her to win a Nobel Prize in nuclear physics.
Where she goes from there, no one knows. The sky is the limit!!
What do you mean a puttin average of 1.32? It will be 0.00. She will hole all of her approach shots.
1. Finish within the top 30 and ties at the annual Qualifying Tournament.
2. Win a co-sponsored or approved PGA TOUR event.
3. Finish among the top 150 players on the official money list in a year (through sponsor exemptions, foreign exemptions, open qualifying or section qualifying, etc.)
4. Win during the course of a PGA TOUR season an amount of official money (by playing in PGA TOUR events through sponsor exemptions, foreign exemptions, open qualifying or section qualifying, etc.) equal to the amount won in the preceding year by the 150th finisher on the official money list.
5. Finish in the top 20 on the official Nationwide Tour money list.
Number four will be Michelle's ticket to a PGA card. For 2005 the 150th golfer on the list had $485,343 in earnings. I guarantee you she is a better golfer than this guy now. He played 20 events and was cut 10 times. One top ten and no wins.
Paula Creamer is a great ball striker, but does not have all the shots yet in her game Michelle does. When the wind is up Paula is down. When the weather is good she is one of the most accurate young golfers I've seen with mid and short irons.
There's no way Wie is even as good as the 150th ranked guy. You don't understand the difference between the two tours.
Michelle Wie +9
Thomas Levet +14 (150th 2005 PGA Money List)
She already beat this guy once by five strokes in two rounds and scored better than a few more members of the top 150 list at the same event, Double Par.
She also tied Nick Price (125th 2005 PGA Money list)and beat a few others on the list at the John Deere.
This girl does have game.
I understand statistics DP and her statistics for PGA events are not bad when you look at the guys placing behind her. Hell David Duval could't put two rounds together to beat her.
The Sony will be her breakout event where she will make the cut for the following reasons:
Home course advantage. She has a bunch of rounds on this course.
Nike Techs have spent enough time with her to get her clubs right. Loft, lie, angle and swing weight set to fit her swing. She couldn't take advantage of this assistance as an Amateur.
David Ledbetter is on her team.
Her new caddy has watched her hit enough balls to help her pull the right club, not the case at the Casio.
And to top it all off she has already taken her SATs. Now that alone has got to be what puts her over the cut line.
Mahalo Bro
He couldn't beat his mom last year.
"Beating" these guys over two rounds proves nothing because everyone has bad tournaments. You must know that.
Secondly, you have to be top 125 on the money list to retain your card
http://www.golf365.com/Story_Page/0,13810,3123_929528_1,00.html
His main message is that Wie shouldn't overdo the PGA exemptions till she earns it, which I tend to agree with. However, he makes the following comments at the end of the article:
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"She will be part of history, but as yet she just hasn't been part of it at all as yet.
"And that's what is scary - someone that good hasn't played any role in golf at all.
Now in the next 15, 20 years, she could be the biggest and best player ever. It would be quite unique. I guess Tiger has had the claim for a few years now. "
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Better than Tiger? A bit over the top.
Now that other little tour, the LPGA is the one that only the top 125 obtain a LPGA card.
Yep DP, she beat these here professional golfers in the field like a step-child in yer doublewide. A fifteen year old high school gal whooped em. Can you just imagine how humbled they were?
She also beat Paula Creamer five out of the eight times she played against her in 2005. The other three times Michelle was having "bad tournaments" according to you.
Once she makes a PGA cut and gains confidence, look out world of golf.
This young lady brings some game.
Next least difficult. Top 20 Nationwide, but Wie willnot go this route.
The Tiger route. Matching Top 125 money. This is much more difficult than Q School--but the Sony Open does give Wie a chance here. In a couple of years if she has a super week on her home course, it could set her up for the year.
"And she is good. She's not a wealthy person who happened to pull some strings. I mean, this girl can flat out play. You know, I barely beat her by a shot, I think, the last time I played there."
He was lucky to "beat" her by a shot. He may not be so lucky in 2006.
It is the top 150 on the PGA money list who earn a tour card for the next season.
The 125 you're quoting is for the LPGA tour.
Please give a link of where you are getting this top 150 information from, because it is wrong.
In a way you just inadvertantly buttressed our point about the hype. As you said, Wie drives it about 270, yet, I can't tell you how many times I've heard gushing journalists say she hits it 300.
I also heard Wie-wie say on a late night talk show that she hits it 300 yards; that's the marketing I was telling you about.
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Under Par, Wie does indeed drive the ball 300 yards. She drives it that far quite a bit. In the Sony she drove it 317 yards on one hole and over 300 for 2 other holes, so she does drive it that far.
However her average is about 270 yards, and that is what counts in my opinion. But to say she drives it 300 yards is not a lie.
In 2004, she averaged about 275 yards.
In 2005, she averaged about 270 yards.
That's based over about 6 events in each year on the lpga.
2. Win a co-sponsored or approved PGA TOUR event.
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Everyone seems to be forgetting about this option. Wonder why!!!!
I sort of assumed that would be the spin. It may be true that it's not a lie, but it is deceitful. It's designed to give people the wrong impression.
Her best shot at qualifying for the Masters would have been to continue playing in the US Amateur Public Links. Since she gave up that opportunity when she turned pro, I can only conclude that 1) $$ are more important to her or 2) she thinks she can qualify for the Masters on the PGA tour. Since #2 is highly unlikely even to the most diehard Wie fan, that tells me that $$ were the main goal all along.
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What makes you think the US Publinx is so easy. Even a great golfer could get knocked out early by someone having a great or fluky day.
Also no golfer can be guaranteed to turn it the form every single time, so I didn't think Publinx qualifying was that likely anyway.
PGA is actually a better route to go, because she has about 20 years at least to do it.
There's no way Wie is even as good as the 150th ranked guy. You don't understand the difference between the two tours.
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I think Wie's performances thus far suggests that she is somewhere around that standard.
It cannot be said for sure, until she would have many more events, but the standard mentioned of 10 cuts from 20, I don't think that will be beyond Wie in a few years.
"You know, I barely beat her by a shot, I think, the last time I played there."
This is important for Wie critics.
Appleby finished 1 shot ahead of Wie.
Appleby considers this to be beating Michelle Wie.
By that reckoning, Michelle BEAT the players that she finished ahead of. It is nice to have a pga tour, back up this line of thinking.
The anti-Wie brigade like to think that finishing ahead of someone in a tournament isn't beating them unless you have won the tournament.
There's a great saying, "Everyone rises to the level of his own incompetence."
In coming years Michelle Wie may come to grasp its true meaning.
Nobody said that Paula Creamer will win everything on the pga next year.
Here is what will happen:
- Paula will be a serious threat to Annika for number 1, next season on the lpga but will probably come up short.
- The following season Paula will be number 1 on the lpga.
- Then for 2008, Paula will be dominant.
- In 2009, Paula will go for the Grand Slam on the lpga, and will win at least 3 of them, if not actually achieve it.
- In 2010, Paula will tackle the men on the pga. Wie will already have made a some cuts, at that stage so it won't be as big news as otherwise.
- Creamer will take her sponsors exemptions and find her footing on the pga.
- then in 2011, at 25 years old, Creamer will take 7 sponsors exemptions on the pga and win enough money to gain her tour card for the following season.
- in 2012 Creamer will win, on the pga tour and build up her world ranking.
- in 2013 or 2014, Creamer will qualify for some majors.
- over the next couple of years after that, by the time Creamer is 30, she will win a mens major, and will have a few pga titles as well.
Exactly let Michelle Wie grow up. Let her finish high school. People also need to recognize that earning and keeping a PGA card are a lot easier than breaking into the Big Five that dominate the tour. It sounds as if making cuts more than half the time is about the level needed to earn and to keep a card. That does not sound impossible for Wie in a few years. And when she is better, a great week on her home course might give her a win. Very few players ever win unless they do have a great week.
She will have shown that she can beat all the woman on the lpga before taking on the men.
I think if Wie gets a tour card, she has a good chance of keeping it.
It will be difficult to get one in the first place, but I think that if she is dedicated, she can do it, whether by the q-school or sponsors exemptions route.
There are some people who post on this board who like to make fun of everybody, which is pretty dumb. Best thing to do is ignore them.
However, you are the only person I have ever seen talk about Paula playing against the men. She's a great talent and may one day challenge Annika for #1 on the LPGA. But, her strength is in putting and short/medium irons. She was something like 65th in driving distance in the LPGA last year. She simply doesn't play the type of game that would suit her to the men's game, and I don't think it's a goal of her's. She may try a game at some point, but unless she starts sprinkling steroids in her breakfast cereal, she doesn't have the strength to succeed.
Wow, I'm impressed with your predictions; you have Creamer's career laid out through 2016.
Now, since I don't run into a rare individual such as yourself -- a man who possesses the gift of prophesy -- very often, I'd like to take this opportunity to avail myself of your prescience. Please aid my endeavours.
I'd like to know what stocks will rise in value twenty-fold or more during the next two years. I'm not asking a lot; it's not as if I want information about events a decade hence. Two years will suffice.
Also, if you can tell me about this week's horse races, I'd appreciate that also.
Yes, the women's distances are hyped in general. I don't know if you noticed this, but when I used to watch women's golf I made an observation. While they would flash the distance of every drive on the screen during the men's telecasts, they would never do so with the women. Of course, I realized that this was for marketing reasons. They realized that if the average person saw that most of the drives were only in the 240s, it would have a negative effect of viewership.
This was a few years ago, so I understand it may be a bit different now. With some longer hitting women, such as Sorenstam and Wie, they may be more inclined to sometimes provide such information.
I was happy to see Lunke win because she seems like a nice gal -- she seems like she's all woman, too. Having said that, doesn't that victory tell you something about the level of the LPGA?
And how about the choke-fest at last year's US Women's Open? What a comedy of errors. One of the leaders (was it Ochoa?) actually hit her tee shot so fat that she dumped it into a part of a hazard that shouldn't have been in play. And she did this with a driver!
What makes you think the US Publinx is so easy. Even a great golfer could get knocked out early by someone having a great or fluky day.
Also no golfer can be guaranteed to turn it the form every single time, so I didn't think Publinx qualifying was that likely anyway.
PGA is actually a better route to go, because she has about 20 years at least to do it.
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Norman.....I never said that the Public Links would be an easy way for her to qualify for the Masters, I said I thought it was her best opportunity. But since you disagree and think the PGA tour is her best chance, then by which method do you think she will have the best chance to qualify in 20 years, as you say? Top 8 in the US Open? Top 4 in the British Open? Top 4 in the PGA Championship? Top 40 on the money list?
Now you all open up the door on yer doublewide and I will explain the process. 150 tour cards are issued, yet only the top 125 receive "exempt" status for the next year. The other 25 recieve "conditional" status on the tour.
Exempt players can enter the maximum number of regular tour events (25) and based on their standing may qualify for the money padding invitation only events at the end of the year.
Conditional players may play 12 to 15 select regular tour events (more if they finish high in the order) and have the option of playing in the final round of "Q" school in an attempt to gain PGA tour "exempt" status. No sectional qualifiers for them.
The next 50 players on the money list (151 to 201) gain exempt status on the Nationwide tour.
The LPGA has a very similiar process in use.
Since you have unfairly associated me to Paula's biggest groupie Ronnie, I will make some Wie predictions stoned, of course only after long consultations with my astrologer:
Miss Wie will make the cut at the Sony based on the alignment of the stars and the 64 she carded last week from the Championship Tees.
Miss Wie will never take a drop without a rules official by her side.
Miss Wie will never live in a doublewide mobile home.
Miss Wie will not win the title at the Sony Open.
So what do you think my percentages will be stoned?
And how about the choke-fest at last year's US Women's Open? What a comedy of errors.
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Very similar to the mens US Open, wasn't it.
But since you disagree and think the PGA tour is her best chance, then by which method do you think she will have the best chance to qualify in 20 years, as you say? Top 8 in the US Open? Top 4 in the British Open? Top 4 in the PGA Championship? Top 40 on the money list?
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Probably top 40 on the money list.
Not at all like the men's Open. If you watched it objectively, you saw that the women looked like rank amateurs. I have never seen a man dump a tee shot hit with a driver into the water a mere 100 yards in front of him.
I just don't buy the argument that because she is a girl she won't have a chance to make it even if she came so close at that early ages.
I don't even think this denial is due to sexism. It's because of close-mindness or pure and simple ignorance.
If she is missing the cut continuously like before by 26 years old, then I am on the wagon saying "Michelle, stick to the women's game". BUT, BUTuntil that time come, I am clearly on her side.
"You go, girl. Pursue your dream and don't pay any attention to those naysayers".
I don't know of anyone who is unwilling to admit that the lpga is of a much lower standard than the pga.
However in the US Open, alot of men were making multiple ridiculous shots, given their talent.
Only Tiger and Michael Campbell
performed properly for top class players.
Firstly, the fact the you would draw an equivalency between 16-year-olds of opposites sexes tells me that you know little about reality. You could be virtually sure in such a situation that the boy had not reached his potential, whereas the same could not be said of the girl.
If you see a 16-year-old boy and 16-year-old girl who can both run the mile in 4:30, would you assume that she would stand as great a chance of improving her time as he? If you would, you lack knowledge and wisdom.
This is because the women's world record for the mile is 4:13 and change, whereas the men's is 3:41. Thus, such a girl would most likely be hard pressed to register any improvement, while such a boy would be able to surpass the 4:13 mark as long as he continued to train (lots of guys have). That's a lesson in reality 101.
Also, I'm sure Michelle Wie will be very encouraged when she next visits this board and sees your comments.
I like your girl Michelle, but you and the rest of her disciples take it too far when you imply that she is a better golfer than Stuart Appleby. That's 6-time PGA tour winner and two time defending Mercedes Champion Stuart Appleby (who finished the year ranked 23rd)
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Did someone actually say that she is better than Stuart Appleby?
I certainly wouldn't concur with those sentiments.
She beat Adam Scott, who was ranked number 7 quite recently. She actually beat him by 3 shots I think.
That does not mean that she is a better player than him. It simply means she played better than him on that particular day.
She would need to play quite a number of tournaments on the pga, before any of us could say accurately just where her level is at.
From her limited few events, I would say that she has tonnes of potential. It makes it even harder to do well, when you play scattered events.
June,
Firstly, the fact the you would draw an equivalency between 16-year-olds of opposites sexes tells me that you know little about reality. You could be virtually sure in such a situation that the boy had not reached his potential, whereas the same could not be said of the girl.
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You leave out a very important word there "physical" potential.
Neither the boy or the girl would have reached their golfing skills potential.
If it was a sport such as athletics, as you mention, the boys potential for physical improvement means that he has the potential to improve much more than the girl.
In the case of golf, the boy has more potential to improve physically, which amounts for a small part of the equation. Both the boy and the girl, have the potential to improve their golfing skills.
It does seem unlikely that a woman could compete with men at the top level of golf--but let's look at the situation. Wie did barely miss the cur at the John Deere, which is not her home course. She apparently has the best form driving that anyone has. Her distance is already pretty much on a par with the shortest guys on the PGA. She plans to try to add 10 to 20 yards--but even if that is overly optomistic she will be in the mix with the short guys on the tour.
The weakest part of her game seems to be her putting, and things do seem to fall apart for her when she is about to make a cut. Neither of these problems seems to have much to do with gender, and they are the type of thing should be correctable--particularly with top professional help, and more time when she finishes school.
I just assumed (maybe mistakenly) followers of Women's golf on the mainland would also be NASCAR fans. I think Ronnie may have confused me.
Yes I was a resident of Hawaii for a few years, living at the Ilikai before hauling anchor and sailing further west.
You are exactly correct on one point though; I do live in a mobile home of sorts. Now where did I put those damn wheels?
She just better have a really big lead going into the final day...cough, cough.
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Actually it would be easier if she was a shot behind coming close to the end, that would mean less pressure, and perhaps the leader could falter, as happens regualarly on all the major tours.
She plans to try to add 10 to 20 yards--but even if that is overly optomistic she will be in the mix with the short guys on the tour.
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Given that Tiger added 15 yards, this season, that would seem to make it a possiblity.
Although sorry, I had forgotton, men natually get much stronger between the ages of 28 and 29, wheras women hit their peaks at 16. Under Par could have told me that.
I predicted that Paula would gain her pga tour card in 2011. I didn't say that she had everything right now to get her tour card.
I said that she is taking a different route to Wie. She has the goal of becoming the number 1 woman before she starts playing the men.
Is that not a better way to do it. She will first become the number 1 woman, and then she will rightly be able to challenge the men.
So what do people think are so wrong with my predictions?
For next year, I have said that she will challenge Annika.
This year she is already number 2, it isn't that much to ask that she keeps gaining ground.
Then the following season she will topple Annika. This isn't an outrageous statement.
She will have some more years on the lpga dominating and winning major titles, and improving her game to the point where she can compete successfully against the men.
When her competitive instincts get on the pga courses, they better watch out for her, because when Paula joins the pga tour, she will make her way to the top, nearly as quick as she has done on the lpga. This last year was her rookie year and she is already number 2, with 4 titles.
How many woman golfers have come along that are over six feet tall, weigh 150 pounds and can still see their shoes. She also has a dead perfect swing plane and a club head speed at impact, I have never seen generated by any woman.
She does have faults in her game that show her inexperience and youth. Course management, reading greens and choosing the right club for course conditions have been her weaknesses in the past. Her superior ball striking ability for a male or female has never been placed in question.
Hopefully her "professional" caddie will do a better job for her than he did at the Samsung and Casio to overcome these obstacles.
Nike will assign a full time technician to Michelle ensuring she has the best Nike tools in her bag at the 1st tee.
Am I a Michelle groupie? No Annika is far more to my taste and she is single again.
But I do respect the talent and potential Michelle has.
He is registered at 5 foot 10, but I doubt he is even 5 foot 9.
He shows that it is possible for Paula to increase her driving. All she will need to do is increase it to about 280 yards, and that would be enough, with her superior skills.
Paula is a far superior putter to Sergio Garcia. He would love to have her putting skills.
That has been stated many times, even though he is only 6 foot tall.
Also Wie has been stated as 6 foot 1 etc. She is only 6 foot.
Media seem to like adding a couple of inches to make the players seem taller.
Ronnie, I expect Sergio will be trying for a hole in one with Paula sooner or later at some mixed event.
She often stated that she didn't want to grow any further and is in denial the fact she grew an inch over the last year.
Put together with the fact that she started to lose lots of babyfat and one inch added, she did look much taller than before lately, circa LPGA Championship.
Your last post actually made me laugh out loud -- it contained an excellent repartee.
Ronnie,
I'm vascillating between feeling sorry for you and wanting to mock you.
You seem a bit incredulous that people think your predictions are silly. Really, it's much like Charles Manson being befuddled by the fact that people think he's crazy.
You try to draw an equivalency between Creamer and Garcia because they're the same height . . . okay . . . Have you heard of testosterone? Do you know anything about physiology?
Creamer hasn't done much weight training I'm sure, and her average driving distance is 248. However, I doubt that Garcia has done much either, and his average is 295. Are you getting the picture?
Moreover, no matter who you are, you'll be hard pressed to gain more than twenty yards through physical conditioning; that's just the way it is. This means that Creamer will be topping out around 268, which is okay . . . on the senior tour.
Wie has a much better chance for the simple reason that her starting point is much better, in that she's already averaging about 270 or 275 off the tee. Don't get me wrong, I'm not saying that Wie is a lock to have a better LPGA career than Creamer. After all, if Wie's putting and metal toughness don't improve, she may be the Tom Weiskopf to Creamer's Hale Irwin. But potential to play well on longer courses is a different matter altogether.
By the way, Ronnie, you never answered my question about your handicap. You've got to be a real high handicapper.
As I have said before, Ronnie has got to be a high-handicapper who knows nothing about golf. Something that separates the men from the women almost as much as distance is spin rate. For instance, the main problem Sorenstam had at the Colonial was that she generated less backspin than the men did from the same distance and, consequently, could not stop her approaches anywhere near the tight pins.
And Creamer is no different in that regard. Only Michelle Wie approaches the spin rate of some of the men. Even if Creamer picked up 25 yards, her proximity to the hole would still be very poor for that reason.
When I was talking about the height issue, I wasn't questioning your figures, I was more taking up Ronnie's point on Garcia being quoted at 5 foot 10, when everyone knows he's about 4 foot 7 tall.
Also Garcia is a great player, but for his lack of putting skills and concentration.
She hasn't had access to the best technology, because she isn't over hyped.
When she takes over as the best in the lpga, that will change.
Comparing Paula to Sergio, is not insulting. She is the same height as him and probably has a stronger build.
If he can hit it 295 yards, then nearly anybody can. It is just a matter of technique, and technology and she can get it at least to 280 yards which should be good enough.
Well at the LPGA Takefuji Classic, Creamer hit an average of 278.3 yards.
For lpga courses, she needs to take something off some of her drives, because they are shorter, and sometimes she would be just driving into trouble.
She has shown she can drive it over 275 yards when needed. By 2011, she should add about 10-15 yards to this.
Creamer is still young. She has developed many wonderful shots in her game.
She has just had a great rookie year. Over the next few years she has plenty of time to develop her back spin and other shots.
Also to hit a forged blade long iron effectively you need the swing speed to consistently be higher than 95 MPH.
Then maybe she wouldn't need so much swing speed to get the spin that she needs to stop the ball.
The goupanuranium backed drivers are supposed to be excellent as well.
Let me see if I understand. Paula Creamer made over a million dollars this year, but she cannot afford the latest technology when she buys golf clubs? Even at the beginning of the year she was first class as far as new LPGA players are concerned. It was Brittany Lincicome who had to make due.
When Paula becomes the lpga number 1, then maybe she will have such a team of engineers measuring her, and the way she grips the club, and the variable so that clubs can be adjusted so that they will benefit her most. I think it will take her getting to number 1 on the lpga before she gets that recognition.
Wie and Tiger are spoon fed. It is like in Formula 1 where Michael Schumacher was given the best car. Soon Creamer will have the best clubs in her bag. That will change things.
You're showing your hacker colors again. You actually have said that Creamer ISN'T playing with the best equipment, equipment designed to maxmize her distance. Ron, who do you think Creamer is, some hack playing for a Division III college team?
Let me clue you in on something: it is now standard on the tours to have your swing computer analyzed so that equipment can be tailor-made for you. It is not something reserved for only the very best players, and these pros cross every "t" and dot every "i." Furthermore, Creamer is already one of the best female players in the world; to think that she can't have the best of everything is quite silly.
Lastly, Ron, I'm only a seven handicap at the moment, and even I intend to have my swing analyzed for the purposes of having clubs custom-made within the foreseeable future.
There's no charge for this golf lesson, you little 100-shooter you.
You can grind off bounce, or adjust lie off an iron Ronnie, but you will never turn a cavity back iron into a forged one.
It is like asking Michelle which sponsor she likes better. Or maybe which parent she loves more.
You hit the nail on the head Vernon and as an added bonus brought the blog back on point.
As I said previously, NO ONE under the sun would have been offended had she said that she'd prefer to win an LPGA event. Who would care?
Back to the funny farm now.
I hate to tell you this, but don't crown Alan Grand Master Dum-dum just yet. There are a few posters on the AOL golf boards who you just have to see to believe. Even then you might not believe it.
Really, though, I think we need different categories of awards. For instance, Ronnie could be a leading candidate for the "Guy We Never Thought Could Possibly Be Serious" award. Norman might win the "Michelle Wie PR Man Audition" award. June may contend for the "I Am Woman, Hear Me Bore" award. Every one of them has his talents. What they are I have no idea.
Just tell me who had a better rookie season among Creamer, Karri Web, Juli Inskter and Se Ri Pak,or do I even have to mention Nancy Lopez.
I just pointed out that some on this board think that there was never a rookie who had a great season when in fact Creamer's season seems to be pale when compared to other HOF.
Simple factual statement. Maybe some just can't read.
Also, perhaps she doesn't want a win on the lpga, perhaps she wants a pga cut more, but she didn't want to admit that, because lpga players might say she was disrespecting them.
Then another possibility is that maybe she was being honest. Maybe, just maybe, they are of equal importance to her. She wants to do both and thinks both would be great.
Yes, you made an excellent point there. Perhaps Webb, Inkster, Lopez and Pak will be dominating the men's tour a decade hence too. I really don't know what all these poor guys are going to do once they've been supplanted.
Think about it fellow golf bloggers, as you played golf over the years who are the most anal, inconsiderate, rude, bellicose and truly ignorant people you have played a round of golf with? The professions that come to mind for me are the real Charlatans, Doctors and Lawyers.
Bloggers if you want to really enjoy a round of golf, go out and play with these characters. The golf course is where they take out all the frustrations of their mundane lives and when winter sets in they turn to these golf boards for an outlet.
Most Doctors or Lawyers join private clubs at the invitation of some colleague not for the love of golf, but as a step up the ladder on their social climbing journey. Of course they are too busy “saving the world” to play more than 12 or maybe a few rounds more each year and this is where the frustration really takes hold.
Doctors and Lawyers are the “Masters of Perfection” of everything they control until they hit the links. This is where reality sets in and they are brought down to their knees by a set of sticks and some hard rubber balls. I’ve witnessed these frustrations first hand bloggers and enjoyed thoroughly each encounter. They throw or break cubs, curse like sailors, hit into groups in front, take 30 minutes to look for a ball and cheat like nobody’s business. The part you will enjoy the most bloggers is at the end of the round when these clowns open their wallets or write a check and pay out. How quiet they become.
With their enormous egos you can easily suck them into betting a hundred bucks a hole during the round. Each of them will supply (not requested) a single digit handicap at the beginning of the round. (They must equate handicaps to penis size I guess. Their own!) Over the years I’ve made far more money from this group of “Charlatans” than they ever got from me in fees or retainers. It is like “stealing candy from a baby”.
So under_par and Alex what do you do to scratch out a living? Construction work maybe?
You are in no position to be talking about other people making silly statements.
Stones most recent comments make sense as to one possible reason why MW answered the question the way she did. Alex's murmerings have made little or no sense.
I assume that Alex is implying that when Jim said "Easiest", that he meant "easy". That is not the case.
Jim hasn't stated that it would be easy.
For example if you play a golf course and you say that hole 14 is the easiest hole, that doesn't mean that the hole will be an easy one for Alex to play.
Just because MW getting a q-card through q school would be the easiest route, does not make that easy also.
Does your mother know you are spending so much time on the internet?
June. I was thinking of your points on other great LPGA rookies. But we have to acknowledge that Paula Creamer has had the greatest rookie year of any player who was nowhere near the number one player. The fact that Paula was 8 victories behind the number one player might actually help her avoid the drop off that some other players have expeerienced.
Creamer can not be considered Annika's main threat if Grace Park wasn't considered serious threat. I think 3 factors contributed this rivarly thing between Annika and Creamer. First Creamer is teenager. Second Creamer is American. Third Creamer basicaly accused Annika of cheating. But if we look at records, There is no evidence that Creamer would be serious threat to Annika right now, especially when creamer is 20 yards shorter than Annika.
I really think you underestimate Ronnie. Since I'm new to this rating system I will defer to your greater degree of experience, but I think Ronnie has risen to the occasion. His assertion that Creamer "doesn't have the best equipment" but will when she is number one has got to be one for the books.
How many sets of great golf clubs are in existence? Must only be four or five. I guess Woods has one, and Singh, and Sorenstam . . .
They're talking about Creamer being a threat to Sorenstam for the same reason why they talk about Wie being a PGA Tour prospect: inferred potential. In other words, people assume that because they're young they're exhibiting just the tip of the iceberg. This is not a given.
How naive are you people?
You think that everyone has the same clubs.
You guys really need to grow up.
Michelle Wie has a stylist and a make up person, and a sports pschychologist and an engineer and a nutritionist and whatever else she needs.
For Tiger Woods the same is true.
I am really surprised at your complete lack of understanding of how professional sports work.
I admit that maybe I overdid it slightly on the clubs, but do you guys honestly believe that a rookie on the pga tour this season will have as much backup as Tiger Woods has? If you answer yes, you are even more stupid than I thought.
As a rookie, last season, Creamer wouldn't have had access to the best. When Annika competed against the men, she get the best of everything because of all the hype and publicity, that event created. Whether you like it or not Creamer simply doesn't have the backup of Sorrenstam or Wie.
They are the two heavily endorsed girls out there.
When Creamer takes over as the world number 1 female in the next 2 years, the sponsors will take notice, and then you will begin to notice the changes in her game.
Also, it has been said that Creamer has been working on improving her driving over the holidays, so hopefully she will add some yardage.
But she has until 2011 before she will be hitting the pga anyway.
Maybe my posting about your silly contention escaped your notice. These pros have clubs custom made LONG before they get anywhere near the level of a successful PGA Tour player. By the way, it may take Creamer till 2011 to supplant Sorenstam.
Alex,
I forgot to mention, Ronnie also said,
"Comparing Paula to Sergio, is not insulting. She is the same height as him and probably has a stronger build."
This guy has to deserve ten Alans . . . plus some kind of bonus.
Alex I believe I struck a nerve.
Creamer/Park Grace park was a mid-20s vet who showed modest improvement over the previous year. Creamer, a teenage rookie who showed great improvement. You are right about Creamer being an American(white and not Asian American). The die was cast before the cheating thing.
In many cases the Creamer bandwagon is linked to a repudiation of the Wie bandwagon. Wie was put forth as the future of women's golf--and except for Ronnie, Creamer supporters are pushing her as a replacement for Annika earlier than they would otherwise--because WIE was talked about in that context.
Let me give you a slap of reality. My golf coach was a PGA pro long ago and was sponsored by Mizuno. He is sponsored by Mizuno till this day even though he is considered "old" for golf. He has told me countless times that EACH PRO sponsored by EACH COMPANY gets the best of the best equipment. You realize that TaylorMade has the "#1 Driver" on tour as so stated in their ad campaigns...thus saying, Creamer must have the #1 driver as well, being the main sponsored female pro. EACH PRO GETS WHAT THEY WANT. THEY ONLY RECEIVE THE BEST EQUIPMENT...THE COMPANIES WANT THEIR PROS TO WIN.
TaylorMade wants to give its top female the best so she can beat Annika...for you to say that the best equipment in all of golf is not available to Creamer is simply ignorant. You must realize this, and until you do, please refrain yourself from posting any more of your comments...because I have no desire to die from excessive laughing at such a young age.
HAWAII STATE WOMEN'S/WOMEN'S DIVISION PROFESSIONAL & AMATEUR TOURNAMENTS:
2002 Hawaii State Open, Women's Division Champion (won by 13 strokes with 8-under par)
2002 Hawaii State Junior Golf Association’s Tournament of Champions, Champion
2001 Hawaii State Open, Women's Division 2nd Place
2001 Hawaii State Women’s Stroke Play Championship (one of three major tournaments in Hawaii), Youngest winner at age 11
2001 Jennie K. Wilson Invitational (the most prestigious women’s amateur tournament in Hawaii), Youngest winner at age 11
2001 Hawaii State Junior Golf Association’s Tournament of Champions, Champion
2000 Hawaii State Open, Women's Division Low Amateur
2000 Honolulu Mayor's Cup, Champion
2000 Hawaii State Women’s Stroke Play Championship, Third place
HAWAII STATE OPEN, PROFESSIONAL & AMATEUR MEN/MEN'S DIVISION TOURNAMENTS
2004 Waikoloa Open, September 24-26, Amateur Division T2
2004 Hawaii Pearl Open, Feb 6-8 (click here to see daily scorecards & stats), T38 (low amateur runner up)
2003 Hawaii State Amateur Stroke-Play Championship, T4
2003 25th Anniversary Hawaii Pearl Open, first & youngest female to make the cut at age 13, T43 overall.
2002 Hickam Invitational Tournament, T5
2002 Barbers Point Invitational Tournament, T4
2002 94th Manoa Cup Hawaii State Amateur Match-Play Championship, first and youngest female (age 12) to advance to the second-round of match play
2002 Hawaii State Amateur Stroke-Play Championship, T17, First female and youngest to make the cut
2002 Hawaii Pearl Open, First female participant
2001 93rd Manoa Cup Hawaii State Amateur Match-Play Championship, first and youngest female (age 11) to qualify for match-play dating back to 1907
AND PLEASE DONT SAY THAT HAWAII JUNIOR GOLF IS A JOKE...GRACE PARK (a top junior in AJGA tournaments, lived in hawaii and competed in every Junior golf tournament...dominating)
ALSO PLEASE NOTE THAT:
The 2005 Girls Junior PGA Champion (also known as Westfield PGA) was won by a Hawaii resident sophomore named Stephanie Kono. She is also attending Punahou School.
She also went on to win the German Jr. Masters...which is a international event.
Also For the 2005 Boy's Junior PGA Championship, a hawaii-resident named Chan Kim placed 6th...so for anyone to say that Hawaii junior golf is a joke...is simply...ignorant.
Now I can understand why Creamer fans want to push creamer as chief rival of Annika but I don't understand how so called experts think same way when stats show she is still miles behind Annika. Only thing separated Annika and Grace was consistency. Grace could hit as long as Annika and hit actually higher ball than Annika. Also grace was one of few lpga players who hit high fade. Same thing can not be said to creamer. Creamer is accurate iron player but Annika is even more accurate and Creamer doesn't come close to Annika when it comes to power. Creamer might be better putter than Annika but that alone doesn't make creamer real rival of Annika.
How good can Stephanie Kono possibly be? She is not even the best girl golfer in her high school.
And the German Jr. Masters is an elite tournament with competitors from around the globe.
You ask how good can Stephanie Kono be? She is not even the best girl golofer in her highschool. BUT every sane person knows that one could not compare an amateur to a PRO golfer. That is like comparing You, Jim, with an IQ equivalent to a rock to a five year old child with an IQ of 10. There are no comparisons,
I was just making a point to all those commenters who have stated that Michelle Wie dominating Hawaii Junior Golf means absolutely nothing...that in fact, Hawaii Junior golf has substantial credit to its reputation
Any sane person knows that one could not compare a great golfer to a golfer that was one in a billion...
At last, people are actually responding to you! I am so glad for you!
If no one cares whether Wie prefers the PGA or the LPGA, then why are there 179 comments to this blog? Why are YOU still adding your comments to this blog?
Maybe Wie values both tours equally right now. Maybe she just gave her honest response and does not care whether you or Nessmith agree or not. In fact, I will bet she does not care whether you and Nessmith agree or not.
You can go back to your funny farm now.
A bidding war for Michelle’s appearance fees at men’s events in Asia has reached in excess of $1.5 mil for each stop. Event organizers liked the Casio numbers for the two days she appeared and want to jump on the train. Event TV ratings in Japan for those two days went thru the roof and attendance up forty percent.
There is another rumor floating around that she will only play the top events on the U.S. LPGA tour this year (three or four at the most) and the Weetabix in GB.
This may change as she tries to schedule in qualifying for the Open Championship, now that a door for women has opened.
The Sony Open might be the only U.S. PGA event Michelle will have time to appear in this year, as she concentrates on padding her portfolio (purse) in Asia and Europe.
My old friends on Oahu are always sending me the local Chika they pick up on. Ninety percent of the time it is pure BS but other ten percent it is dead accurate.
Remember, though, he did say that Creamer has a stronger BUILD that Garcia. That truly is classic.
Hey, Ronnie, ever hear of body fat percentage or strength to weight ratio? Moreover, Creamer is not a hefty gal by any means.
I was a wiry kid in high school, but I didn't know of any girl who was stronger than I was.
A final validation for me Alex would be; how many rounds of golf did you play in 2005 and do you carry a single digit handicap.
We sailed west 20 years ago to take advantage of the growing business opportunities in Asia. Hating to fly and live out of hotels, my demure boat has become my mobile home and office. This way I can float around Asia to wherever we have a little project going on and stay onsite while the finishing touches are applied and it is accepted.
I make a modest living compared to you Alex.
Since money seems to be the most important thing in your life, is that why you are so jealous of Michelle Wie?
Norman may be scoring well at the moment, but how can his banal attempts compare to " . . . she has a stronger build than Garcia."
Ronnie is a natural.
sorry jim, I was a bit cranky and when you mentioned Stephanie, she is a really close friend of mine, I kind of went nuts. I guess I was just venting eh? My apoligies.
Stone. Thanks for your caring comment. I'm very grateful that you did not rip my head off for being a highschooler, but the main point I was trying to make was that Hawaii Junior Golf is not a joke as everyone makes it out to be...(also Michelle did not play in those "junior" events at the age when Stephanie/Grace did..so junior events don't really have that much of an effect for later successes/failures)
my apoligies to everyone...I'll go back to the other activities that I do, "sneak some alcohol out of your dad's liqour cabinet, get laid and enjoy the beautiful weather, [and] leave the thinking to the big boys"
Aloha to all
Why nobody questions strength of "national" tournaments?
Your constant comments berating other people are more like something out of pre school.
Perhaps you could either make some attempts to make some kind of an argument, or just accept your defeat gratiously.
There were some interesting point made in your discussions.
The main substance of alot of arguments regarding Michelle Wie, seems to be lack of wins.
Jay named some junior winners, and how much success they have had on the lpga since, and that success has equaled absolutely none.
It is my contention, that what Michelle has achieved on the lpga so far, has far outweighed anything she could have done in junior competition.
I think that had she concentrated on junior competition and won events across the board, then that success would have been less than her existing lpga success.
Other people have the right to disagree but I think that a top 3 finish in a major, is better than any number of wins in junior competition.
We would not be hearing about Michelle Wie's lack of winning if she did not play against men. Indeed, after playing over her head winning the WAPL at 13, she made it back to the match play final the next year only to lose it at the end. She also struggled to an 82 in the final round of the US Women's Open. It looks like no win Wie has the horrible record of 1 out of 3 in the last 3 tournaments she had a reasonable chance to win. 1 out of 4 if you include last year's SBS Open. Hardly something to make an issue of.
But Michelle Wie also plays against the men--and I think her play against men is a lot better than what she does on the LPGA. Look what Ai Miyazato did on her home course against men. Wie is great against women, but she is unreal against men, and if she chokes some near the end it is because it is very hard to maintain an unreal level of play. Also there is the fact that she has to prepare for two different versions of golf--the women's game and the men's game.
We will see in a few days how Michelle does at the Sony. She is almost certain to do better than last year. Her struggles there last year may have put a damper on the beginnning of her year on the LPGA. Last year I thought her T2 at the SBS was a disappointment. This year she should be coming off a stronger finish at the SONY--and with the new PGA schedule, she will have two more weeks to prepare her women's game for the SBS Open on a Hawaiian course with the likely absence of Annika. That should give her a great chance to win, followed by another the next week also in Hawaii. Once Wie starts winning on the LPGA her LPGA confidence is likley to increase dramatically, and she should become even more of a force than she has been up to this time.
I cannot blame you for this strategy. Whenever you try to make some point about anything to do with golf, someone else usually proves that your point of view is complete nonsense.
Therefore, it is no wonder that you have decided to take another course of action, which is, to insult anyone else who posts here but doesn't agree with you, and to take out your spell-checker and try to insinuate that you are better than everyone else, just because you can spell a few words.
Perhaps if you spent more time on learning about golf, than at your dictionary, you might be able to make at least some valid point.
Maybe you are right, that learning at a lower level how to win would have helped her. However I don't think we can say this for sure yet.
If she had learned how to win at lower levels, she wouldn't have played as much at a higher level, so how much lpga experience would she have at this stage?
So as regards, her 2nd and 3rd places on the lpga, I don't think she could have played enough junior golf and still have got those 2nd and 3rds at her current age.
Maybe I am wrong, maybe it will affect her over the next while, in trying to win, but I doubt it.
If she wins this year, she will still be the youngest winner by far, on the lpga tour, and I hope that if that happens, that everyone will acknowledge that she has learned to win on the lpga, at a younger age, than those who had great amateur success.
Perhaps Alex would like to read the comments of Jim Coulthard and Stone, and learn how to make a point and back it up with some facts and reasoning.
Paula Creamer was also a member of the US team. Michelle and Paula won both of their singles matches and lost in the team events. The final day Michelle closed out her opponent on the 13th hole. Paula closed out her opponent on the 15th.
This should settle the arguments about Michelle's amateur credentials.
* She is 6 foot, not 6 foot 1.
* She drives the ball an average of 270-275 yards, not 280 yards.
In fact she insists that she is only 5'12". So go figures.
"summa cum laude". No matter, Norman, you're just going to have to learn to share. You can't have the sandbox all to yourself. Don't get too cocky just because Alan is resting on his laurels and Ronnie is MIA.
in the Sony and six others were designated as alternates. Assuming that maybe two of the alternates get in the field, that would mean that Michelle would have to make the cut and OUTSCORE, not tie 16 of the aforementioned players for your prediction to come true. That is indeed a tall order, even for a talented miss like Michelle Wie. Making the cut is key for your proposition since in the real world, as opposed to Norman's world, no credit is given nor are statistics kept on by how many strokes a cut was missed. My point is, no matter how much you like Michelle, don't bet the rent money on a prop like that.
Alex has decided to enter some proper debate.
Of course, he makes the mistake of talking out of his rear end, but at least he is trying and that is definetely an improvement.
As regards your point Alex, unlike you I have absolutely no doubt about what Jim was talking about.
Jim predicted that Michelle would outperform 80% of the q-school graduates. By that he meant that she would finish with better scores than them.
To simplify further:
* If she makes the cut:
Then she has performed better than anyone who hasn't made the cut and those who finished behind her after the final day of the tournament.
* If she misses the cut:
Then she has performed better than those who have shot a worse score than her over those 2 days.
This may be difficult for you to understand Alex, but if Michelle misses the cut with scores of 72 and 71, she has outperformed someone who hit scores of 78 and 77.
I know that is difficult for you to understand Alex, but all we ask is that you try.
Creamer's season is a long way from starting at this stage.
At the moment she is working hard especially on her driving. There really isn't much point in trying to convince people, because there is no lpga play at the moment.
When the season starts in February, you will be surprised at how much Creamer has improved her game.
In 2004 Creamer wasn't doing very well at all on the lpga.
Weren't you surprised by how well she did in 2005.
Next year will bring more.
Could Michelle Wie's 2nds or 3rds have become wins? Let us look at her 2nds and 3rds.
SBS Started last round 5 back of Jennifer Rosales, closed to within 2 at T2. Wie shot 70-70-70, and her final round 70 tied the low round of the day.
MacD LPGA Started last round 7 back of Annika, finished 3 back. Wie shot a final round 69. Tying best round of the day, 67, would have still left her one shot behind.
Evian Started final day 11 back of Creamer, finished 8 back. Only one player at 65 had a better round thean Wie's 68.
Weetabix Started 6 back of Jang, finished 6 back.
It's interesting that even you pointed out that Wie was over-hyped in the article provided by Asia. That's always been my point -- she is over-hyped.
Again, Wie very well may make the cut this week, as it's bound to happen eventually (although I have bet money that she won't). I give her about a 35% chance of doing so at THIS event.
On the whole I think Wie received massive attention.
That has resulted in over-hyping of her abilities. Equally, it has resulted in over-hyping of her failings. In fact, in many cases, things which aren't failing have been called failings simply because of her high profile.
She has the over hype of her achievements but equally the over analysis of anything that goes wrong. If any young man were to miss his first couple of pga cuts, would we know about it? I don't know how Retief Goosen or Ernie Els or Luke Donald or any other professional got on at the start of there careers.
I think Alex made my point for me. Even if Michelle Wie misses the cut, Alex is afraid 4 out of 5 Q School grads will miss the cut by a larger margin--which for one thing means they would have to miss the cut by at least the 2 strokes by which Michelle Wie missed the John Deere cut last year. So not more than 1 in 5 could do better than Wie did at the John Deere.
RONNIE
I checked. For an amateur, Paula Creamer actually had a spectacular season on the LPGA in 2004--on a par with the one Morgan Pressel had last year. A 2nd one shot back of Kerr at the Shop Rite. A 13 with Wie at the US Womens Open. A 13 at Wegman's Rochester, and 18s at BMO Financial Candian Open, and Wendys Championship for Children.
Indeed her percentage of Top 20 finishes on the LPGA went down from 71% in 2004 to 65% last year.
You see, you're not practicing logic. You asked if we would know about it if a young man missed his first couple of cuts. We sure would if the media had been focusing on him incessantly. However, there is no equivalency between simply reporting the results of a much ballyhooed player -- which is a legitimate role of the media -- and exaggerating the person's abilities.
Having said that, I sometimes do roll my eyes when they report that some woman has missed a cut in a men's event, as if it's unexpected and therefore news. However, they reported on Miyazato's missed cut, too. But the reportage in this regard just buttresses my point. If Wie hadn't been so hyped to begin with, people would expect her to miss cuts, and then news of her doing so wouldn't be deemed so noteworthy, would it?
Wie does get the overhyped sometimes and her ability is sometimes overhyped, I agree with you about that. However I also contend that if she misses the cut by a shot, by bogeying the last couple of holes they make a big deal out of that. She has hype and has to cope with the good and bad sides of that hype.
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Under Par said:
If Wie hadn't been so hyped to begin with, people would expect her to miss cuts, and then news of her doing so wouldn't be deemed so noteworthy, would it?
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In this regard, I think Wie was a victim of her own success. At the 2004 Sony Open, she over-performed in missing the cut by one shot. She was just 14 years old and I don't think alot of people realise the magnitude of scoring a 68 on a pga course at that age.
For that particular tournament, she made alot of massive putts, and that is why I say she over-performed. I think she performed well beyond, her average ability. That score brought added expectation, and hype. Since then I think she has improved alot as a player. I think she is now a player with the ability to scrape a cut on an average week at the Sony.
She could have a bad couple of days and miss the cut by a few shots, or have a great couple of days and finish 2 or 3 shots inside the cut line.
When she shot that 68 she had only 23 putts -- it was one of those flukey rounds that a pro has once in a blue moon.
When the men have a putting round like that, they usually shoot far lower.
Her score outperformed her own ability.
I'm sure you will agree that if she hits 23 putts in her 2nd round in this years Sony, her score would likely be much lower than that.
The missed cut scoring you refer to is true for players who have been competing on that level and making cuts for some time.
Ernie Els doesn't care if he misses the cut by 1 stroke or 8 strokes.
However in the case of someone starting out, it does matter. I can tell you this from my personal experience.
From Michelle's point of view, it is also very important to her, that she shoots the best scores she can.
Equally for the rookies, they will want to shoot the best score they can, to give confidence to themselves that they are capable of performing for the rest of the season.
Come on Norman, June, Alex, Jim, Stone, Jay, Paul W, under par, Alex and of course Ronnie (if he is still around after the severe thrashing and abuse he has received) what do you think the outcome will be?
If you are right, bragging rights are yours for the taking. If you are wrong expect a flurry of abuse from "Alex the Terrible".
I'll post my prediction after you have all posted.
My prediction for Wie in the 2006 Sony Open:
I believe that she WILL NOT make the cut this time around...yes shocking! Although I am one of those "wiefanatics" that Alex and Under Par constantly undermine, the weather lately has been FREEZING. (It's 68 degrees here!) The wind and rain have also picked up for Oahu and conditions now seem similar to last year's...that being said, Michelle played very poorly last time around and so on that Judgement...I predict a short Sony for Michelle...(Although I pray that all the deities in the world muster their strength to get her through the first two days..;D )
BUT! even though the weather has been freakishly cold, Michelle has learned a whole new repertoire of shots that we have not seen yet...maybe there still is hope!
The deuce iron she stuffed in her bag will help her keep the ball low and in play.
The one thing we learned from the Mercedes on Maui was the conditions affect everyone at one point or another. Watching the balls blow off the green was classic Hawaiian golf.
Thursday...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Highs 74 to 80. East winds 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Thursday Night...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows 65 to 70. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Friday...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Breezy. Highs 74 to 80. Northeast winds 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Friday Night...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows 65 to 70. East winds around 15 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Saturday...Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming mostly sunny. Isolated showers. Highs 74 to 80. East winds 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Saturday Night...Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows 65 to 70. East winds 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Sunday...Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming mostly sunny. Isolated showers. Highs 74 to 80. East winds 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Somebody mentioned Brittany Rincicome. Does anybody remember Rincicome shot 64 in 3rd round of safeway international and played in final pairing of final round? She shot 80something in final round but nobody wondered why her experience of winning didn't translate at lpga because she is not a michelle wie.
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Very good point Jay. That is another example of how Wie gets judged unfairly.
I hadn't been aware that Brittany hit such a round. That just goes to show, that nobody particular cares much what she shoots.
Perhaps Stone will look at Brittany's situation.
- Brittany, a proven amateur winner.
- Shoots 66 in round 3 to get into the final pairing.
- What happened next? Did she use all she had learned in winning amateur titles to good effect. Had she in fact learned how to "close the deal" in winning these amateur titles.
- Nope, she shot 79 in the final round. As I have stated many times before, if you win amateur titles it does not "teach you how to win", as so many people have stated.
- All it does is teach you how to beat weak opposition.
- The reason I am so steadfast about this, is that I won quite a few amateur titles in Europe myself, but when I tried my hand at Challenge Tour golf, it didn't help one bit.
I have made my prediction on more than one occasion. I have said that she has a 35% chance of making the cut at THAT event.
Firstly in regard to myself, I did go on to achieve more in my career, including wins at a higher level, albeit not at the highest level. I have played at the highest level, but only on a limited playing privalages, not with a full tour card.
I agree with what you are saying that, that doesn't make me any more knowledgeable. I know a couple of players, who are far better golfers than myself on the European Tour, who completely disagree with many of my views. Equally I know more who agree, so your standard of golf doesn't mean you know better.
My own point was that, being good enough to seal the deal at the amateur level didn't help in my case at the next level. I still lost leads in the final stages.
It is possible that Michelle is different. All I am saying is that if she were to win 250 amateur titles, it wouldn't mean that she would necessarily be able to win lpga titles.
As regards Sean O'Hair's round, I was just using that as a joke. Sean is a very fine player, and many of us would love to have his talent.
I wouldn't like to speculate about what Michelle's score would be, because I don't think it would look too pretty. As a young player she would struggle even more than most of the other players. I hope conditions are much better at the Sony.
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Stone said:
I am simply trying to understand why a girl who many feel is already one of the best three, maybe even two female golfers did not win more amat titles and has not won on the LPGA tour
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Here are some reasons:
1. Sorry but age does count. If she were to win, she would be the lpga's youngest winner by 2 years.
2. She plays a maximum of 8 events per year. If she were to play 25 events in a season, like Paula Creamer, I would be shocked if she did not win. However, with only 8 scattered events per season, that doesn't help you get your flow. Most players need to play week in and week out to get their rhythm.
3. Annika plays on the lpga tour. With her winning half the events she plays in, and being a far better player than Wie or any other female, it cuts Wie's chances to about 4 per season. That makes winning pretty hard going.
ALEX Records are certainly kept which allow one to determine how many strokes a person misses the cut. I would like to see that information listed. It would be useful when looing at players who miss a lot of cuts.
I certainly don't want to underestimate the quality of the players at q-school.
You have listed some very impressive stats about the layout of the course and how difficult it was.
I would ask you to do one thing though. Watch the Sony Open. Actually you don't even need to watch it. When it is over take a look right through the leaderboard and check how the q-school grads got on. In fact I will do this for you. After the Sony Open, I will tell you just how the rookies performed at the Sony Open.
I think this will give a true reflection of exactly what standard they are at. I don't want to understate their achievements, they have done tremendously well. There will also be 3 or 4 of them who do quite well this season. However the majority of them, will be back at q-school next year.
If Wie improves her game, to be able to do well on the pga tour, then q-school should be achievable. We all know she needs to keep progressing though.
MW will give up some distance to some of the pga, that is for sure, but none of them will be averaging anything like 320.
If she could build to an average of 290, that would have her ahead of Monty and other very successful pros.
Norman says.... well I think it is "No" she won't make the cut. Can anyone translate Kipper English here? The Brits hate to offend anyone. Sorry Michelle.
Under Par gives her a one in three chance, so that will go into the books as a "No".
Patrick is down for a "No" with some prayers involved to go the other way. Divine intervention is not out of the question Patrick. My Parish Priest assures me "God is a Golfer and that is why He invented the Scots". He might be biased, as he is a Scot.
Alex must be fleecing clients of $450 an hour. But I think we can safely speak for him; he is a "No", "No Way" or "Not a Chance in Hell". I just have a feeling, I don't know why.
We haven't heard from June or Ronnie for awhile, so we will give them a little more time to respond when they get back from Alex induced therapy.
That is why Paula, Annika and Tiger are at the top, they close the deal on the green.
At LPGA tour events she is using a sand wedge on most par fours for a second shot. On the PGA tour par fours she is hitting five or six irons and putting it on the green regulary.
My answer on your poll is YES she will make the cut.
I think I am the first on this blog to predict that she will make it.
Alex has done just the same thing.
He says that he thinks she won't make the cut, but then he goes on to make excuses as to why if she does make it, that it really isn't much of an achievement anyway.
- home course familiarity.
- short course.
Here are some odds at one particular bookmaker:
M Wie to make the cut 2-1
M Wie to finish last including ties 11-4
M Wie to finish in the Top 20 including ties 16-1
M Wie to finish in the Top 10 including ties 33-1
M Wie to finish in the Top 5 including ties 80-1
M Wie to get a hole in one in the Tournament 200-1
M Wie to win the tournament 500-1
Norman driving or greens in regulation are not Michelle's problem on either tour. Her problem is sinking the six to ten foot putt with consistency. Closing the deal on the green is not her strong point.
That is why Paula, Annika and Tiger are at the top, they close the deal on the green.
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Mentioning Paula in the same context as Tiger and Annika is not very correct in my opinion. I know Ronnie would probably agree with you, but I don't.
Paula Creamer is NOT at the top, as you and Ronnie would like to think. She is merely near the front of a chasing pack, which is way behind.
As regards driving and GIR, I agree these are not her problem, but they hide a big problem.
A high GIR percentage is nice to have, but it is also important where on the green your ball is, when you do hit the green in regulation.
It is very different to have a 5 foot putt or a 50 foot putt, but they still both count for one green in regulation.
Where Michelle actually lands the ball on her approach shot is a problem. At mens events she has been way below the average for her birdie putt length.
So although, her putting hasn't been great at times, that isn't the full story.
Michelle Wie's Average Birdie Putt (shots that the green was hit in regulation) at Sony Open:
Year Length
2004 33 ft 8 in
2005 37 ft 6 in
Those average birdie putt lengths hardly give much chance of birdies. The field, I think were about half that distance on average.
It appears the winds are from the E/NE with the leeward side of the Island getting some high surf advisories and gusty winds. What area of Oahu do you live in Patrick? The waves at Sunset must be kickin man.
From what I remember of playing Waialea many years ago, an east wind will help everyone on the long par fives and some difficult par fours. It would come into play on some of the shorter par four or five holes and most of the par threes.
Number five was my hole from hell in high winds. Hit it high into the wind with a three wood and you watch the ball stall and fall into the first of two creeks crossing the fairway. I took more than my fair share of drops on number five.
Pstrick is still carried as a weather related "No" with hope.
Alex has mailed in "No" to the survey. Being the gambler he is, I just know he will drop at least a couple Ben Franklins down on the 500 to 1 odds. He needs a refill of Cubans in the humidor.
Under Par has spoken.
In my opinion, she will make the cut.
I am still entitled to voice weather concerns. I know that conditions will affect play and I know it will probably affect hers more than most, but my prediction is that she will make it.
As regards your suggested formula of "lets say it's great if she makes it and dreadful if she doesn't, I cannot buy into that system.
If she misses the cut, it matters greatly to me, the manner in which it happens.
I'm giving her a 52.322% chance of making the cut.
Round 1: 72
Round 2: 75
She will miss the cut by 8 strokes.
From local "gossip" around the town, Michelle has played Waialae a fair amount (she's not a member) and I believe that her average score at waialae was 69...1 under par with some rounds ranging from 65 and 64 to about 76 and 77. That's just 1 under par without the PGA set-up. With the tough PGA rough and greens, I'm sure her average score would kick up two-strokes at least...
Don't forget the tough PGA pin placements. I have to assume that they'll be situated differently during the event.
BUT ALL THE BEST WISHES MICHELLE!
Michelle will end up under the cut line by at least three strokes.
Michelle will end up with a final four round score that places her somewhere in the middle of the final day field.
Now Alex, under par or Norman, before you write anything, let me just say, these predictions are more optimistic than I would have made. But I will defer to their experience and jump on the bandwagon with them.
This same group has been keeping an eye on another golfer in the field and predicts he will end up in the top ten on the final day. The Player? Jason Gore who is hot off four dismal rounds at the Mercedes. The word on Jason is the usual smile has been replaced with a game face and his second shots on some of the par fives are made with nine irons. He is flat out crushing the ball.
Well, I will now batten down the hatches, secure the mooring lines and wait out the Typhoon of abuse coming in from the East after signing up to these predictions.
Do you mean "experience" like that possessed by silly Philly Mickelson, who said Sorenstam would finish about twentieth at the Colonial?
Hey, Alex, how many Alans did ol' Phil get for that?
Hold on mates we haven’t hit the eye wall yet. There is far more to come.
Did you guys catch any of the Golf Channel's PC drivel about the chance of Michelle making the cut at the Sony? Mark Rolfing and Joe Ogilvie were asked their opinions, and of course they responded predictably. I've never seen two more fawning, brown-nosing sycophants. Norman would have been proud.
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Pity I missed it so.
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